How Much is Your Home Worth?
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Home prices fell across the Bay Area this year. Every dollar of gain landed within ten miles of downtown San Francisco. Find your city.
Bay Area home prices fell over the past year — down 1.5% for houses and 3.1% for condos. The only ground that gained lies within ten miles of downtown San Francisco. Find your city and see where it landed.
closed sales read, across nine counties
cities with enough houses sold to rank
the region's median house price per square foot
the radius from downtown San Francisco inside which prices rose
August 2025 – July 2026 measured against the twelve months before it. Houses and condos counted separately, never mixed. Source: Bay Area MLS data, compiled by The Lederer Team.
Every city we could measure, colored by how it moved. The rings mark distance from downtown San Francisco. Click any city to load it below. Drag to pan, and use the buttons to zoom.
Ranked by change in median price per square foot.
El Cerrito finished the year up 7.1%. Kensington, which it borders, finished down 8.5%. The two are 1.8 miles apart. An agent who works only El Cerrito sees a hot market. An agent who works only Kensington sees a cold one. Both are reading their own street correctly, and neither can tell you why — because the why is ten miles west, in San Francisco.
You cannot see this pattern from inside any one city. It only appears across 100,076 sales in nine counties. An agent pricing your home off what your neighbour got last spring is using the only instrument they have, and this year that instrument pointed the wrong way in most of the region.
Local knowledge tells you what a house is worth. Regional data tells you which direction the ground is moving under it. Pricing needs both, and almost nobody does the second.
That is the whole reason this page exists. Every figure on it comes from our own analysis of the raw sales record, not from a portal estimate. If you want the same rigor applied to your specific address rather than your city, that is the conversation to have.
Each circle is a city, sized by how many homes sold. Click any circle to select it.
Change in median price per square foot. Click a row to load that city above.
How this is measured. Each city's median price per square foot for closed sales in the twelve months to July 2026 is compared with the twelve months before that. Using full years on both sides means seasonality cancels out completely: every spring and every winter appears once on each side of the comparison. Price per square foot is used instead of median price because it does not swing when the mix of homes that happened to sell changes. August 2026 is excluded because closings for that month were still being reported when the data was pulled.
Houses and condos are counted separately and never mixed. They are two different markets and they moved differently this year. Condos here include townhouses, which the MLS files alongside them. Condo sales are also much thinner outside a few cities, so fewer places can be ranked on that side.
What a rank can and cannot tell you. A city needs at least 40 recent sales and 25 in the prior year to be ranked; below that it is reported without a rank, and below 15 sales not at all. Even so, a single city's figure is a summary of very different houses. The regional pattern — strength near San Francisco, weakness beyond twenty miles — holds in every quarter we tested. Where a specific city lands in the middle of the table is less firm than its position suggests, so read a mid-table rank as a neighborhood rather than a placing.
This is a city number, not your home's number. Condition, block, floor plan and timing move a single property far more than its city's median does. If you want to know what your own home did, ask us and we will look at it properly.
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